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Women's · next-month ApmZoom new SKU uploads

Updated 2026-06-03·억 KRW
Forecast28,670 SKUs
80% CI band15,578 — 52,763 SKUs
Provided by ApmZoomrolling MAPE: 21.05%

History & forecast

now2013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620262027443 万2.1 亿4.1 亿6.2 亿8.2 亿
Provided by ApmZoom · Range: 2013-06 — 2026-06

Past 12 months · predicted vs actual

8千万2.4亿4.0亿5.5亿7.1亿24-0524-0724-0924-1125-0125-0325-0525-0725-0925-1126-0126-03
In-range hit rate91.7%
Average error21.05%
Max error79.0%

Error at different forecast lengths

Further-out forecasts are less certain. Below is the actual error at each horizon.

  • h = 1
    MAPE 21.0%CI80 94% · n = 18
  • h = 3
    MAPE 24.0%CI80 89% · n = 18
  • h = 6
    MAPE 25.9%CI80 100% · n = 18
  • h = 12
    MAPE 26.9%CI80 100% · n = 18

Related forecasts

Women's · next-month ApmZoom GMVWomen's
Stable

Women's · next-month ApmZoom GMV

Forecast1.51억 KRW
80% CI1.00 — 2.26억 KRW
Recent error 21.05%
Updated 2026-06-03View full forecast
Men's · next-month ApmZoom GMVMen's
Improving

Men's · next-month ApmZoom GMV

80% CI0.01 — 0.16억 KRW
Recent error 97.50%
Updated 2026-06-03View full forecast
Accessories · next-month ApmZoom GMVShoes & Bags
Testing

Accessories · next-month ApmZoom GMV

Forecast0.10억 KRW
80% CI0.06 — 0.19억 KRW
Recent error 51.22%
Updated 2026-06-03View full forecast

HK · Wearing Apparel Retail YoY

+8.3%Updated 2026-06-03 · 2026-03HK Census & Statistics · Table 620-67002 (public)

KR · OECD Retail Trade Index

+5.0%Updated 2026-06-03 · 2026-03FRED · OECD Korea Retail Trade Index (public)
Women'sStable

Spring Festival 2027 · Women's GMV multiplier

Forecast multiplier× 1.54× 1.27 — × 1.87
Baseline 1.65억 KRW → 2.54억 KRW
Recent error 21.60%
Updated 2026-06-03
Women'sStable

Pre-Spring-Festival shopping window 2027 · Women's GMV multiplier

Forecast multiplier× 0.99× 0.99 — × 1.00
Baseline 1.77억 KRW → 1.76억 KRW
Recent error 21.60%
Updated 2026-06-03
Women'sStable

Chuseok 2026 · Women's GMV multiplier

Forecast multiplier× 1.00× 1.00 — × 1.00
Baseline 2.49억 KRW → 2.49억 KRW
Recent error 21.60%
Updated 2026-06-03
Women'sStable

Singles Day 2026 · Women's GMV multiplier

Forecast multiplier× 0.78× 0.64 — × 0.95
Baseline 2.41억 KRW → 1.88억 KRW
Recent error 21.60%
Updated 2026-06-03
Women'sStable

6.18 mid-year sale 2026 · Women's GMV multiplier

Forecast multiplier× 0.79× 0.62 — × 1.00
Baseline 2.47억 KRW → 1.95억 KRW
Recent error 21.60%
Updated 2026-06-03
Men'sStable

Men's · next-month ApmZoom new SKU uploads

Forecast SKUs3,740 SKUs
80% CI1,048 — 13,347 SKUs
Recent error 52.60%
Updated 2026-06-03View full forecast
KidsTesting

Kids · next-month ApmZoom new SKU uploads

80% CI0 — 7 SKUs
Recent error 247.92%
Updated 2026-06-03View full forecast
Shoes & BagsStable

Accessories · next-month ApmZoom new SKU uploads

Forecast SKUs1,059 SKUs
80% CI661 — 1,698 SKUs
Recent error 35.17%
Updated 2026-06-03View full forecast

China · Total Retail Sales YoY

+0.2%Updated 2026-06-03 · 2026-04China NBS · Total Social Retail (via akshare)

Japan · Retail Trade Index YoY

-8.8%Updated 2026-06-03 · 2026-03OECD · Japan Retail Trade Index (FRED: JPNSARTMISMEI)

Asia Apparel Retail Composite YoY

+1.2%Updated 2026-06-03 · 2026-04Asia Fashion Forecast

China · OECD Composite Leading Indicator YoY

-1.5%Updated 2026-06-03 · 2026-04OECD · China Composite Leading Indicator (CHNLOLITOAASTSAM)

Indonesia · OECD Composite Leading Indicator YoY

+0.8%Updated 2026-06-03 · 2026-04OECD · Indonesia Composite Leading Indicator (IDNLOLITOAASTSAM)

India · OECD Composite Leading Indicator YoY

+2.5%Updated 2026-06-03 · 2026-04OECD · India Composite Leading Indicator (INDLOLITOAASTSAM)

† Beta-tagged forecasts are still improving. Treat results as directional only.