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女装Improving

Bottoms · Culottes

Feb 2027Peaks Feb 2027Updated 2026-06-03
Demand index (YoY)+63%80% confidence interval -62% ↔ 592%
Last year actual-86%Trust anchor — how the model fared a year ago

Signal interpretation

Bottoms · Culottes demand peak in 2027-02 forecast at +63% YoY (rising). primary color black · median ₩36k. Supply momentum: Mini emerging (+65%). Price-band momentum: Premium band fading (-59%). Concentration rising (+48%, big merchants squeezing small). Model improving.

History & forecast

-171.4%-15.4%+140.6%+296.6%+452.7%25-0725-0925-1126-0126-0326-05

Year-over-year change of this L3 category over the last 12 months. Absolute GMV is distorted by seasonality; YoY is the clean trend signal.

Silhouette · Supply Momentum

Share shift in the last 3 months vs the prior 3. Where merchants put their own money is the real signal — click-based demand was falsified (click ∝ SKU).

Merchants doubling down
Mini24.1%39.7%+65%
A-line9.3%13.6%+47%

Colour mix

black37%· 1364 SKU
gray17%· 650 SKU
white13%· 487 SKU

Price band

P25₩29k
P50₩36k
P75₩44k

Price tier · Momentum

Merchants pulling out of
Premium₩50-100k27.2%11.3%-59%

Supply concentration

Consolidating (big merchants squeezing small)43.4%64.1%+48%

Action by role

Culottes peak demand in Feb forecast +63% YoY · primary color black · good time to buy

Methodology

Rolling MAPE91.6%
CI80 coverage77.8%
TierImproving