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女装Improving

Outerwear · Coats

Jul 2026 → Feb 2027Peaks Jul 2026Updated 2026-06-03
Demand index (YoY)+126%80% confidence interval -33% ↔ 662%
Last year actual-62%Trust anchor — how the model fared a year ago

Signal interpretation

Outerwear · Coats demand peak in 2026-07 forecast at +126% YoY (rising). primary color black · median ₩135k. Price-band momentum: Premium band fading (-30%). Model improving.

History & forecast

-143.1%-21.5%+100.0%+221.6%+343.1%25-0525-0725-0925-1126-0126-03

Year-over-year change of this L3 category over the last 12 months. Absolute GMV is distorted by seasonality; YoY is the clean trend signal.

Colour mix

black28%· 1528 SKU
gray20%· 1080 SKU
brown16%· 852 SKU

Price band

P25₩89k
P50₩135k
P75₩189k

Price tier · Momentum

Merchants pulling out of
Premium₩50-100k21.1%14.8%-30%

Action by role

Coats peak demand in Jul forecast +126% YoY · primary color black · good time to buy

Methodology

Rolling MAPE96.6%
CI80 coverage83.3%
TierImproving